Today's blog tries to tie up some loose ends. These include the following: still no winner in the New Mexico Democratic caucus, one week after Super Tuesday. As I mentioned in the last blog, Andrew had the best estimate on the states won by Obama and Clinton, regardless of which way New Mexico goes.
The most accurate assessment of the delegates won on Super Tuesday has the two Democratic contenders splitting the vote nearly 50-50%. It looks like Clinton won 819 delegates and Obama 817. The best Caterham student prediction on the delegate split was Marcus's; he had Clinton winning 52% and Obama 48%. We'll be sure to come up with something for our two winners and figure out a way to get it to Caterham.
Now for an overdue answer to questions from Kate K.: The Ohio primary is scheduled for Tuesday March 4, exactly three weeks from today. Given the tightness of the Democratic nominating process, Ohio (and Texas that same day) will be hugely important in determining the ultimate result.
Today's "Potomac Primaries" -- Virginia, Maryland and the District of Columbia -- all look like victories for Obama. On the Republican side, John McCain is favored in all three although Mike Huckabee might surprise in Virginia. Next time we'll look at the exceedingly close delegate race for the Democratic nomination.
Tuesday, February 12, 2008
Catching Up
Posted by Jim Bunting at 3:56 PM
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